Washington โ€”  

One word in the Federal Reserveโ€™s lengthy policy statement released this week is causing consternation among its officials, some of whom are warning that it could end up costing the US economy.

That word is โ€œadditional.โ€

Since the early 2000s, the Fed has signaled if interest rates could increase, decrease or remain unchanged โ€” known as โ€œforward guidanceโ€ โ€” through officialsโ€™ public remarks and policy statements after every meeting.

On Wednesday, its latest forward guidance hinted that lower interest rates might be the only possibility moving forward, noting it will consider โ€œadditional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate.โ€ In its latest move, the Fed this week kept its key interest rate unchanged for the third consecutive meeting.

The word โ€œadditionalโ€ specifically drew objections. Fed presidents Lorie Logan of Dallas, Beth Hammack of Cleveland and Neel Kashkari of Minneapolis โ€œdid not support inclusion of an easing bias in the statement at this time,โ€ according to the Fed on Wednesday, so all three of them cast dissents. The three Fed presidents released statements Friday detailing why that was a mistake.

Since 2024, the only adjustments the Fed has made to the target range have been down, largely driven by signs of a weakening economy. But the economic situation has dramatically changed this year: The US-Israeli war with Iran, which began on February 28, has kept global oil prices hovering around $100 a gallon for weeks and has kept US gas prices elevated.

There can be serious economic consequences if the Fed misreads the economy โ€” even communicating the wrong direction for interest rates can be risky, the Fed officials said.


Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *